黄河三角洲可吸入颗粒物造成的居民健康经济损失估算

Evaluation of Economic Cost of Health Effect Due to Inhalant Particulate Matter in Air in the Yellow River Delta

采用泊松回归模型,选用国内外Meta分析结果的污染物暴露-反应关系系数,参考相关健康效应终点的统计资料,估算了黄河三角洲地区归因于可吸入颗粒物的居民健康经济损失。结果表明,2010年可吸入颗粒物(PM10,参考浓度取40μg/m3)造成的人群急性健康经济损失为16313.69万元,超额死亡经济损失为3347.42万元,合计19661.11万元,占该地区当年GDP的0.036%,在一定程度上反映了该地区可吸入颗粒物污染危害的严重性,对当地居民健康危害造成的经济损失不容忽视,应采取有效的防治措施控制颗粒物的污染,以提高人们的健康水平。

The health effect due to inhalant particulate matter of the Yellow River Delta was evaluated using Possion regression model.This article selected the exposure-response coefficient of the meta analysis result,combined with the statistical data about diseases.It concluded that the economic cost were 163.1369 million Yuan by acute health effect and 33.4742 million Yuan by the excess death in 2010,for reference concentration of 40 μg/m 3.The total economic cost was 196.6111 million Yuan,which accounted for 0.036% gross domestic product of the Yellow River Delta.It reflected the seriousness of the inhalant particulate matter pollution at a certain extent,and it can not be ignored for the economic cost of health effect.Some effective measures should be taken to control the inhalant particulate matter pollution,in order to improve the residents＇ health level.