我国合成橡胶投资机会分析

Analysis on the investment opportunity of synthetic rubber in China

分析合成橡胶的国内外市场供需、消费及进出口情况,应用"机会窗口"理论和指数平滑法预测出未来合成橡胶发展的市场闭合时间,并以近年大力发展特种合成橡胶的4家上市企业的资本运营情况为代表,分析我国合成橡胶发展投资的机会及风险。认为:现在是我国合成橡胶产业发展的成长期,市场总体需求旺盛,进入行业有利可图,但在投资项目及厂址选择上不可盲目介入。

Based on domestic and foreign markets of supply and demand,consumption,import and export situation of synthetic rubber,this article predicts the market closing time for future development with the help of the ＂theory of opportunity window＂ and exponential smoothing.We carry out a case study on the 4 listed companies,focusing on the development of special synthetic rubber in recent years to analyze the opportunities and risks of domestic synthetic rubber’s investment.It believes that the demand in growing markets is vigorous in the development of current China’s synthetic rubber,and there are profits to enter into the industry.But we should guard against aimless investment projects and select sites carefully.