我国青少年灾难心理素质影响因素评估——基于Logit和Ordered Probit模型的估计

The evaluation of influence factors of Adolescents’ Disaster Mental Qualities in China——Based on the model estimation of Logit and Ordered Probit

基于全国性问卷调研数据,综合运用Logit和Ordered Probit回归模型,分析了个人、家庭、学校、社会四个层面中的13种因素对我国青少年灾难心理素质的影响作用,并且分城乡进行了稳健性检验。发现学校、家庭、社区、媒体、自我教育对促进青少年灾难心理素质的提升具有重要影响作用;自我教育是增强青少年灾难意志的最关键因素;学校、家庭、社区、媒体对青少年灾难意志的培养教育缺失或存在偏差;女性和农村青少年的灾难认知水平显著低于男性和城市青少年;母亲受教育程度高的青少年灾难意志更薄弱。在此基础上,提出充分发挥各灾难教育因素的教育功能,探索各灾难教育因素之间的协作联动机制,充分激发青少年自我教育潜能,着力弥补灾难意志教育维度的缺失或偏差等建议。

Based on the nationwide questionnaire investigation data, integrated utilization of Logit regression model and Ordered Probit regression model, from 4 perspectives of individual, family, school and society, we analyzed the impact of 13 factors on adolescents disaster mental qualities. We find that the disaster education of school, family, community media and adolescent self has very important impact on promoting the improvement of adolescents＇ disaster mental qualities; self-education is the most critical factor to enhance adolescents＇ disaster will; disaster awareness level of female and rural adolescents is significantly lower than male and urban adolescents; whose mother has higher education level, his will maybe weaker. On this basis, we put forward some suggestions.