产业结构变动与经济增长关系的实证分析——以江苏省为例

An empirical analysis of the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth——a case study of Jiangsu Province

针对江苏省产业结构变动现状,采用产业结构的经济增长贡献模型和Moore结构变化指标法,分析了江苏省1995-2010年三次产业增长与经济增长的关系,并就产业结构变动趋势与经济增长变动的差异性进行实证分析。结果表明,江苏省三次产业对经济增长贡献存在差异,产业结构变动趋缓条件下第二产业对经济增长的贡献支撑了经济的平稳增长。

In view of the recent changes in industrial structure in Jiangsu Province, model of economic improvement of industrial structure and various values of Moore structure were adopted for an empirical analysis of the relationship between three industrial growths and economic growths from 1995 to 2010 and a discussion was made of the difference between changing tendency of industrial structures and those of economic growths. The result shows three industries nomic growths. With slow changes of industrial structure, the tion to the stable economic arowth. have exerted different influences on eco- second industry has made great contribu-