农业土地资源可持续利用水平评估研究——以山东省为例

STUDY ON THE EVALUATION OF AGRICULTURAL LAND SUSTAINABLE USE——A CASE OF SHANDONG PROVINCE

本文在阐述了区域农业土地资源可持续利用原理的基础上 ,构筑了区域农业土地资源可持续利用指标体系 ,利用专家系统构筑了区域农业土地资源持续利用理想模型 ,制定了指标计算标准 ,运用定性与定量的综合集成法 ,度量区域各指标的实现程度 ,根据模型计算的结果 ,分析了农业土地资源持续利用现状水平下的制约因素 。

Under the explanating connotation of regional agricultural land sustainable use,authors construct index system,which included main layer(the agricultural land sustainable use level),normal layer (social economic land resources,eco-enviroment,developmental ability) and index layer(they were important indexes of influence agricultural land sustainable use).By expert decision system,an ideal model of sustainable land use,which was a absolute comparative model,was formed.Calculating standards were formulated.With quality and quantity integrated method,indexes achieving level was tested.According the level,authors analysized the restrictive factors,and put forward suggestions on sustainable agricultural land use.Fianly,this paper analysized sustainable agricultural land use of Shandong.The result is the sustainable agricultural land use of Shandong will be realized in 2045.