2020年我国粮食供需预测分析

Forecasting and Countermeasure on 2020 China Grain Supply and Demand

本文在对粮食消费因素、生产因素、进口因素进行趋势性分析基础上,对稻谷、小麦、玉米、大豆等主要粮食品种进行供需预测认为,2020年我国粮食消费、生产与进口量分别为6.93亿吨、6.44亿吨与0.49亿吨。为保障粮食安全,应积极实施国家食物安全新战略,积极改善进口粮食环境条件与全球粮食安全治理机制,系统做好粮食产能的预警与调控工作。

Based on analysis and forecasting on grain consumption influencing factors,production influencing factors and import influencing factors,the supply and demand of main sorts of grain in China is forecasted respectively,including paddy,wheat,corn and soybean.In 2020,grain consumption quantity,grain production quantity and grain import quantity of China is 693 million tons,644 million tons and 49 million tons respectively.For grain security in future,new stratagem on food security should be implemented,grain import circumstance and global grain security.Father mechanism should be improved,and early warning and regulation on grain production capacity should be paid attention to systemically.