地市级官员交流与地方经济发展--基于广东省(1988-2009)的经验研究

Prefectural-level Official Exchanges and Local Economic Development:An Empirical Study Based on Guangdong(1988-2009)

既有文献均从省级层面检验官员交流对经济发展的影响,研究地市级官员交流的经济后果将是对既有文献的有益补充。本文利用广东省21地市1988-2009年间党政首长任职数据展开的经验研究表明,广东省地市官员交流促进了地市经济增长,即便考虑不同时期跨度、不同交流类型、不同时间阶段以及考察弱内生性样本,上述结果都显著且稳健。此外还发现,官员的跨省交流比同省交流对经济增长具有更大的促进作用;1999年前的官员交流对经济增长作用比较有限,而1999年后的交流对增长的作用则相当明显。

Most of the existed literatures focus on government heads exchanges and economic development at provincial level rather than prefectural level. In light of this, we try to study the same topic empirically at prefectural level with data from 21 prefectures of Guangdong in the period of 1988 - 2009. Our empirical results show that, the exchanges of government heads at prefectural level is beneficial to local economic growth, even if different time spans, different control groups, different exchange types, and weak endogenous samples are considered. Evidences also suggest that, the inter - provincial exchange of government heads is more helpful to economic growth compared with inner -provincial exchange; the exchange occurred before 1999 has less effect on economic growth compared with exchange after 1999, which has significant effect on economic growth.