劳伦斯·萨默斯的“孟买共识”评析

An Analysis of the Mumbai Consensus

劳伦斯·萨默斯在担任美国国家经济委员会主任期间提出"孟买共识",并勾勒出其性质、特点、发展前景和影响。从深层次看,此举着眼于美国国家利益,是为了配合美国内政和外交的需要。因此,萨默斯的"孟买共识"具有明显的倾向性,同时暴露出其诸多不足之处:在印度社会经济发展的认识上以偏概全,对未来发展模式的预测和推断草率失慎,对印度模式的总结和归纳言过其实,并刻意将"北京共识"和"孟买共识"置于对立面。萨默斯提出的"孟买共识"既不成熟,也难以令人信服,但其动机和这一动向值得关注。

Lawrence Summers,during his service as director of the U.S.National Economic Council,first mentioned the term Mumbai Consensus,and described its nature,characteristics,prospects and impact.In essence,such a move serves in the U.S.national interests and meets the U.S.domestic and foreign needs.But it exposes quite a few deficiencies,such as a selective perception and misunderstanding of the socio-economic development in India,a rash prediction and deduction of future development models,an overstatement of the Indian development model,and a deliberate contrast between the Mumbai Consensus and the Beijing counterpart as opposites.Although Summers'Mumbai Consensus is neither mature,nor convincing,his motivations and the Consensus deserve our attention and reflection.