世界经济波动与中国经济的贸易传导路径——基于SITC类商品的微观视角

Trade Transmission Route Analysis of World Economic Fluctuation's Influence on China's Economy——From the Microcosmic Perspective of SITC Type Commodity

利用周期对比分析法,以SITC类贸易商品为分析对象,从微观视角考察了当前世界经济波动对中国经济影响的贸易传导路径。得到贸易商品传导本轮世界经济波动的微观路径为:SITC9→SITC1→SITC0→SITC5→SITC8→SITC2→SITC3→SITC4→SITC6→SITC7。贸易商品依次结束传导世界经济波动路径是:SITC9→SITC0→SITC8→SITC2→SITC3→SITC4→SITC5→SITC6→SITC7→SITC1。

Taking SITC Type commodity as the subject, the present article uses comparative method and studies the trade transmission route of world economic fluctuation＇ s influence on China＇ s economy from the microcosmic perspective. It finds the sequence of transmission route as follows： SITC9→SITC1→SITC0→SITCS→SITC8→SITC2→SITC3→SITC4→SITC6→SITC7. It also finds that the ending of such transmission follows such a sequence ： SITC9→SITC0 →SITC8 →SITC2 → SITC3 → SITC4→ SITC5 →SITC6 → SITC7→SITC1.