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电力系统连锁故障预测新方法

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摘要 以串、并联单元模型为基础分析了电网各支路之间的影响关系,提出了用于电网连锁故障预测的动态概率模型,用以搜索电网发生连锁故障的传播路径,找出易引发连锁性故障的重要支路。动态概率模型充分考虑了线路负荷率对其故障概率的影响以及邻近线路间的相互作用。该动态概率预测方法从连锁故障发生的机理出发,全方位进行分析,案例分析验证了所提出方法的合理性。
作者 廖文强
出处 《科技创新与应用》 2012年第11Z期145-146,共2页 Technology Innovation and Application
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