湖南自然资源丰裕程度与经济发展水平关系实证分析

The Relationship between Economic Development and Natural Resource Advantages in Hunan——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Resource Curse Hypothesis

从"资源诅咒"假说出发,不同于以往学者用"能源诅咒"代替"资源诅咒"的实证分析,构造了反映湖南真实自然资源丰裕度的指标,对湖南的资源优势与经济增长之间的关系进行了计量检验和分析。结果表明:从长期来看,湖南确实存在"资源诅咒"效应,但这种效应在第一阶段1985—1995年比较明显,而在第二阶段1996—2010年,湖南的"资源诅咒"效应逐渐变的不显著。湖南能否最终摆脱"资源诅咒"效应,关键在于湖南能否加强科技创新的市场化程度,以及促进人力资本的形成。

By using ＂energy curse hypothesis＂ instead of ＂resource curse hypothesis ＂, this paper constructs an index which shows the true abundances of natural resources in Hunan Province and makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between its resource advantage and economic growth. It shows that in the long run,the effect of ＂resource curse＂ did exist in Hunan Province,but it was obvious in the first phase from 1985 to 1995, while in the second phase from 1996 to 2010 ,the effect of ＂resource curse＂ weakened significantly. Whether or not Hunan can finally get rid of the effect of ＂resource curse＂ depends on its ability to strengthen market-oriented science and technological innovation and promote the formation of human capital.