上海商业地产市场容量及合理规模研究

The Shanghai Commercial Real Estate Market Capacity and Its Reasonable Scale Study

当前,随着社会经济的持续发展,商业地产拥有无限商机。结合上海商业地产的发展及上海经济发展水平,通过定量和定性分析相结合的方法,研究上海商业地产发展现状,特别是上海商业地产整体规模现状;以上海经济人口承载力为基础,运用预测模型测算上海商业地产的市场容量,以推算最佳规模,结合商业地产市场规模发展现状分析判断其规模的合理性,为上海商业地产持续有序发展提供客观科学的决策依据。

With the continued development of the socio-economic, commercial real estate has unlimited opportunities. Combination of commercial real estate development and the level of economic development, the method of combining quantitative and qualitative analysis, to study the Shanghai commercial real estate development status, especially the Shanghai commercial real estate, the overall size of the status quo; based on economic and population carrying capacity of Shanghai, the use of predictive models estimated that the capacity of the commercial real estate market in Shanghai, projections best scale combined scale development status of the commercial real estate market analysis to determine the size of the commercial real estate market rationality, sustained and orderly development of commercial real estate in Shanghai to provide objective scientific basis for decision making.