中国人造板产业内贸易现状与决定因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Determinants and Status of Intra-Industry Trade of Wood-Based Panel in China

基于 UNcomtrade 数据库的人造板贸易数据,采用 G-L 指数法对 1992—2010 年期间中国人造板产业内的贸易水平进行测算及国际比较,并采用双对数多元回归模型从国家特征视角对中国人造板产业内贸易的决定因素进行计量分析。结果表明: 中国人造板产业内贸易水平低,对外贸易方式仍然以产业间贸易为主; 森林资源和人均收入水平对中国人造板产业内贸易发展具有显著的正向影响。

Using the data about wood-based panel trade from UNcomtrade database,this paper measures and compares internationally the level of intra-industry trade of Chinese wood-based panel in the period of 1992—2010 by using G-L index,and analyzes quantitatively the determinants of intra-industry trade of Chinese wood-based panel from the perspective national identity by the double logarithmic multiple regression model. The results show as follows：the intra-industry trade of Chinese wood-based panel is still in low level,and the pattern of foreign trade in Chinese wood-based panel is dominated by inter-industry trade;Forest resources and per capita income have a significant positive effect on the development of intra-industry trade of Chinese wood-based panel.