摘要
将灰色模型和马尔可夫链模型相结合,构建了灰色马尔可夫链预测模型,并根据北京市12年的降雨量资料序列预测之后2年的降雨量范围。证明了利用灰色马尔可夫链对降雨量进行预测是一种行之有效的方法。
The Rainfall Projection is an important part in weather reconnaissance. We combine Grey model with Markov Chain and apply Grey Markov Chain model to project the range of rainfall in the following two years based on the rainfall of twelve years in Beijing. The result shows that Grey Markov Chain model is a good method to forecast the rainfall.
出处
《重庆理工大学学报(自然科学)》
CAS
2012年第10期103-106,共4页
Journal of Chongqing University of Technology:Natural Science
基金
中国水利水电科学研究院基金资助项目(IWHRQ2009011)