我国区域矿产资源竞争力评价及与区域经济相关性研究

Evaluation of Competitiveness of Regional Mineral Resources and Correlation with Regional Economy

矿产资源对一国的国民经济发展具有重要的战略意义。论文在分析已有文献资料的基础上,结合数据可获得性原则构建我国区域矿产资源竞争力评价指标体系,并详细阐述各指标的计量方法。然后,运用多指标输入/输出复杂系统的相对有效性评价方法———数据包络分析(DEA)法,并收集2000—2009年数据对我国区域(东部、中部和西部)矿产资源竞争力进行评估,揭示其变化规律。最后,用我国区域2000—2009年的"矿产资源竞争力"和"人均GDP增长率"分别代表其矿产资源的丰裕程度和经济发展水平,结合协整检验和Granger因果分析法验证矿产的"资源诅咒"假说在我国区域间是否成立。研究结果显示:①随着时间的推移以及我国市场经济的发展,区域矿产资源竞争力在不断地提升。另外,我国三大区域的矿产资源竞争力与其所拥有的矿产资源储量成反比;②区域矿产资源竞争力与其经济发展水平呈长期稳定的均衡、双向因果关系,得出矿产的"资源诅咒"假说不成立的结论。上述研究成果对于我国如何提升矿产资源竞争力及利用矿产资源发展区域经济具有极其重要的指导意义。

Firstly, based on the existing research literature, combined with the principle of data availability, this paper analyzes the built evaluation index system for China＇ s regional mineral resources competitiveness, and measurement methods of each index are described. Then, using multiple indicators of input/output relative efficiency of complex systems approach--Data envelopment analysis （DEA） method, China＇ s regional （eastern, central and western） mineral resources competitiveness is assessed, the variation principle is revealed. Finally, with the region＇ s “competitiveness of mineral resources” and “GDP per capita growth rate” representing respectively the abundance of mineral resources, and the extent and level of economic development, whether interregional mineral “resource curse” hypothesis could be setup is verified. The results showed： 1 ） with the elapse of time and the development of China＇ s market economy, regional mineral resources continue to enhance competitiveness. In addition, China＇ s three regional mineral resources competitiveness and their own reserves of mineral resources are inversely proportional; and2） the competitiveness of regional mineral resources and its growing economic development have stable equilibrium, two-way causality relation, that is the derived mineral “resources curse” hypothesis does not hold the conclusions.