中国制造行业发展与碳排放脱钩测度研究

The measurement research on the decoupling relationship between manufacturing sector economic growth and carbon dioxide in China

基于Tapio脱钩理论,引入节能弹性这一中间变量构建了制造业经济发展与碳排放脱钩的理论模型,对我国2000-2004年间和2005-2009年间28个制造业的CO2脱钩弹性和节能弹性进行了实证分析。结果表明这十年间基本所有制造业的低碳水平都有所提升,其经济增长与碳排放之间基本都已经处于弱脱钩状态,其中节能弹性指标显示能源效率的提高是关键原因。尽管如此,我国制造业节能减排的任务还很艰巨,这需要企业、政府和社会多方努力来共同完成。

Tapio Decoupling Index is used in this paper to build a theory model on analyse decoupling relationship between manufactur- ing sector development and carbon dioxide, then do empirical research on 28 manufacture sectors by using the data between the years 2000 - 2004 and 2005 - 2009. The conclusion is that,in the last decade , the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and eco- nomic growth is in the state of weak decoupling for most of the manufacture sectors, and the dccoupling level has been enhanced ,the en- ergy saving elastic index shows that these results mainly because of the enhancement of the energy using efficiency in our country, how- ever, the task of reducing the carbon emission is also very difficult, it requires the enterprises, our government and the society to make a joint effort.