人口预测模型的进展

The Progress of Population Forecasting Model

本文主要介绍了人口预测的发展过程中不同的算法模型,在考虑到早期Malthus模型和Logistic模型的不足之处后,重点介绍了Leslie离散模型和该模型的改进,从而比之前的方法能够更准确地进行人口发展预测。

This paper mainly describes the different algorithms in the progress of forecasting population. After taking into account the inadequacies of early Malthus Model and Logistic Model, the author introduces the Leslie Discrete Model and the modified model which can more accurately forecast the population development than the previous methods.