我国刑事犯罪的灰色关联分析

Gray Relation Analysis of Criminal Offense in China

利用灰色关联分析方法,将犯罪率与我国近年来主要经济指标进行关联分析,得出关联度。结果显示与犯罪率关联度从大到小的顺序依次是:城镇化率、城乡收入差距、城镇基尼系数、农村基尼系数、失业率。结论认为加强社会整合与管理,逐步缩小城乡收入差距,改善城乡内部收入分配,有效扩大就业是预防犯罪的有效措施。

This article reveals the grey correlation degree of the criminal rate with main economic indicators by using the method of gray relation analysis and obtains the correlation degree. The result indicates that the grey correlation degree for criminal rate in order from big to small is urbanization rate, urban-rural residents＇ income gap, urban Gini coefficient, rural Gini coefficient and unemployment rate. Finally, this paper points out that the effective measures for prevention of crime are to strengthen social inte- gration and administration, to gradually narrow urban-rural residents＇ income gap, to improve interior income distribution in ur- ban and rural areas and to effectively enlarge employment.