摘要
水资源可持续发展系统是一个大型复杂的非线性系统．运用系统动力学方法，建立了我国水资源可持续发展的系统动力学模型；引入水资源可持续发展因子，将水资源与社会、经济、人口、环境放在一个大系统中，研究满足我国未来用水需求，保证水资源可持续发展的策略；对我国2010年水资源可持续发展的具体情况加以预测．
The system of Chinese water resources sustainable development is a large complex nonlinear system. With the application of system dynamics analysis, in the paper a model of system dynamics of Chinese water resources sustainable development is tried to be built considering water resources, society, economy, population and environment as a comprehensive general system, the strategy of water consumption in the future is studied, tfying to guarantee the sustainable development of water resources in china and meemwhile to estimate the details of water resources in 2010.
出处
《上海理工大学学报》
EI
CAS
2000年第2期154-159,共6页
Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology
关键词
系统动力学
水资源
可持续发展
system dynamics
water resources
sustainable development
