我国农业巨灾的生态经济影响与应对策略

China's Agriculture Catastrophe of the Ecological Economic Impacts and Coping Strategies

近年农业巨灾的频率及影响程度加剧,极易对农业形成巨大冲击造成严重损失。总结了我国农业巨灾的特点,从农业巨灾风险的致灾因子与社会的脆弱性、承灾体的差异性,分析了农业巨灾的成灾机理,并探讨了农业巨灾对我国农业经济造成的时差周期、价格波动与生产消费预期的滞后风险、产业结构与产业链的连锁效应、进出口的外贸波动、财政转移支付及金融赔付与投资等方面的实际影响,提出当前做好农业巨灾的综合风险管理、提高农业减灾防灾技术、降低社会的脆弱性等策略来减低农业巨灾造成的损失。

In recent years, the agricultural catastrophe frequency and influence degree aggravate, formed the huge impact on agriculture and caused serious losses. The article summarized the characteristics of China＇s agricultural catastrophe, from the agricultural catastrophe risk disaster-causing factors and social vulnerability, differences of hazard bearing body, analyzed the agricultural catastrophe disaster mechanism. It explored the agricultural catastrophe on China＇s agricultural economy knock- on effects of caused by time period, price fluctuation and production of consumer expectations lagged risks the industrial structure and the industrial chain, fluctuations in the import and export and export trade, the fiscal transfer payment and financial compensation and investment and other aspects of pi＇actical effect and put forward current to the agricultural catastrophe risk management, improve the agricultural comprehensive disaster prevention and reduction technology, reduces the social vulnerability and other strategies to reduce agricultural catastrophe losses.