2012年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析

Analysis of the Current Situations of Economies in Europe and U.S. and Outlook in 2012

当前,欧美经济体受债务问题困扰,仍然处在艰难复苏中,全球经济下行风险加大。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展等层面对欧美经济目前的现状进行分析,并基于联合国和IMF的预测结果对经济未来走势进行判断。欧美经济将对中国产生较大的影响,我国既需要采取合适的经济政策实现平稳快速增长,又要预防欧美流动性扩张可能引发的通货膨胀对我国产生影响。

Currently, beset by sovereign debt problems, the increases European and American economies are slowly, and downside risk of the global economy is increasing. This paper will analyze the current situations of the economies in Europe and the United States from such aspects as economic growth, inflation, unemployment situation and the develop- ment of the manufacturing industry, and, according to United Nations and the IMF forecasts, deduce the future tendency. We also argue that the economies of Europe and the United States will have a great influence on China, thus, we should take ap- propriate economic policies to achieve stable and rapid economic growth. But, we also should be careful of the transmission of the possible inflation, which will be caused by the liquidity expansion, to our country.