摘要
考虑到垂直专业化分工体系下中日美三角贸易中日本的特殊地位,本文以日本为分析对象,通过对中日美第七类商品中第75、76和77章商品贸易进行协整检验和误差修正模型,量化了美国从中国进口波动会引起的日本出口波动的幅度,从而阐释了2008-2009年金融危机期间日本遭受的"超调"式贸易波动。
This paper have a deep analysis on China. Japan and U. S. triangle trade especially SITC 7 trade and finds Japan is the main source of China importing immediate inputs and the U. S. is the key destination of China processing final products. Besides, China. Japan and U. S. trade structure gradually changes from SITC 8 to SITC 7, especially ICT products. Based on Japan special status on vertical specialization, This paper take Japan for example and have an econometrical analysis on ICT, meanwhile we measure the volatility of Japan intermedi- ate products exports to China due to the volatilityofU. S. final products imports from China, so we can explain Japan trade ＂overshooting＂ volatility during 2008-2009 crisis.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期47-51,共5页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
关键词
垂直专业化
中间产品
最终产品
Vertical Specialization
Intermediate products
Final products
