中国为什么难以转变外贸发展模式——一个微观生产组织控制视角的分析

Paradox of Transformation Mode of Chinese Foreign Trade

本文融合Accmoglu等(2007)技术选择理论和Shapley-Value讨价还价博弈方法,讨论我国为何难以转变外贸发展模式的微观传导机制,并以中、韩、美三国的垂直生产体系为例进行经验分析。研究表明,在不完全契约条件下,最终产品商通过价值链分解权控制和层次租金分配激励机制,有效构建并维护着高端链节国家设定的分工模式,使国内加工企业被低端专业化,导致模式转型的微观企业条件准备不足,而这是我国外贸发展模式陷入转型困境的国际生产组织的根源。因此,通过制度创新突破国际生产组织安排,提升微观企业的真实生产率水平和组织能力,是破解我国外贸发展模式困境的有效路径。

This paper combines the Accmoglu＇s theory of technology adoptions and the Shapley-Value methods of bargain game to explain the paradox of transfor- mation mode of Chinese foreign trade and apply them to the practice of China, Ko- rea and the U. S.. The conclusions show that, under an incomplete contract, there is the power control of value chain disintegrate and the hierarchy rents incentive that building up and upholding the division modes designed by the high chain coun- tries, and results in the insufficient preparation of our transformation firms. That is why existing the paradox of China＇s trade pattern transformation. The results show that China should contribute to institutional innovation and promote enterprises productivity and organization capability to deal with the paradox.