结构红利与资源诅咒——西部大开发以来内蒙古产业结构变迁绩效评价

Structure Bonus and Resources Curse——Industrial Structure Change and Its Performance of Inner Mongolia since Western Development

统计分析表明,西部大开发以来内蒙古经济存在越来越严重的就业—产值结构偏离趋势。采用shift-share方法分别对西部大开以来内蒙古、西部和全国的劳动生产率进行分解和比较分析发现,内蒙古的结构红利不显著。因此,近年来内蒙古经济虽有良好的增长绩效,但其资源依赖型增长正通过价格机制和制度效率两个途径制约着产业结构的高级化与合理化变迁,即存在潜在的资源诅咒问题。

A statistical study indicated that there was a higher and higher divergent trend between employment structure and production structure since the west development. The labor production efficiencies of Inner Mongolia, the west region and China were decomposed with shift- share method, and the results showed that the structure bonus was prominently low. Thus, in recent years Inner Mongolia＇s resource - reliant economic growth, though with a high growth rate, was restraining the rational and advanced change of economic structure through price mechanism and market system, and was confronting high risk of suffering resources curse.