玉米灰斑病脉冲Logistic模型研究(英文)

Impulsive Logistic Model for Gray Leaf Spots Caused by Cercospora zeae-maydi

[目的]采用脉冲Logistic模型模拟玉米灰斑病流行过程。[方法]在不同品种玉米上接种玉米灰斑病菌并观察记录发病情况,采用脉冲Logistic模型对该病发展过程进行模拟,并与实际发病情况进行比较。[结果]人工接种验证结果表明脉冲Logistic模型能够反映玉米灰斑病病害时间动态。推导得到,玉米灰斑病指数增长期从玉米出苗开始到每年7月上旬,逻辑斯蒂期从7月上旬到8月下旬,衰退期从9月上旬到玉米生育期结束。[结论]由模型推导的结果符合玉米灰斑病发展的生物学规律。

[ Objectlve] Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate epidemic process of Gray Leaf Spots caused by C. zeae-maydi. [ Method] The pathogen was inoculated in different maize varieties, and the incidence were observed and recorded. Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate the development process of the disease, which was compared with actual incidence. [ Result] Artificial inoculation tests showed that impulsive Logistic Model could reflect time dynamic of C. zeae-maydi. Through derivation, exponential growth phase was from maize seedling emergence to eady July in each year, logistic phase was from early July to late August, terminal phase was from eady September to the end of maize growth stage. [ Conclusion] The derivation result from model was consistent with the development biological laws of C. zeae-maydi.