福建省CO_2排放及减排潜力分析

CO_2 Emission and Its Reduction Potential in Fujiang Province

基于2010年福建省CO2排放量,对人均CO2排放量和万元产值CO2排放量的区域分布格局及其成因进行了分析,并依据2000—2010年CO2排放量和经济发展数据,建立了福建省CO2排放量随人均GDP变化的环境学习曲线,据此分析了2005—2010年6个时段CO2减排潜力变化及其空间分布。结果表明:经济发展水平越高的地区,万元产值CO2排放的负荷越小,万元产值CO2减排的潜力也越小;反之,经济发展水平越低的地区,万元产值CO2排放的负荷越大,万元产值CO2减排的潜力也越大。

Based on CO2 emission data of 2010,the area distribution patterns of CO2 emission per capita and CO2 emission per unit production value are quantitatively analyzed. Then,on the basis of CO2 emission and economic development data from 2000 to 2010, environment learning curves of CO2 emission in Fujian Province are built. According to the environmental learning curves of CO2 emission, the variation of environmental load and the reduction potential of CO2 emission in every period from 2005 to 2010 are analyzed. The results show that in some areas where the level of economic development is higher,CO2 emission per unit production value is lower and the reduction potential of CO2 emission is smaller; in contrast,in other areas where the level of economic development is lower,CO2 emission per unit production value is higher and the reduction potential of CO2 emission is bigger.