广东农业发展的影响因素分析

Analysis of Influencing Factors on Agricultural Development of Guangdong

应用Eviews6.0软件对1990年到2009年期间广东农业增加值、农业劳动力、农业固定资产投资和农业机械总动力的时间序列分别进行单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验,以分析影响广东农业发展的主要影响因素。通过数据分析发现,在广东农业劳动力、农业固定资产投资和农业机械总动力投入的增加并不必然导致农业增加值的增加。

The main factors that influence the agricultural development of Guangdong was ana- lyzed by using the Eviews6.0 software and applying the unit root test, co-integration test and Granger causality test to the time series data of agricultural added value, labor, fixed capital invest- ment, and total power of machinery of Guangdong during the period of 1990 to 2009. Through the data analysis we found that the increase of agricultural power, fixed capital investment and total power of machinery does not necessarily lead to the increase of agricultural added value in Guangdong.