公共支出、居民消费与经济增长关系研究

The Research of the Relationship between Public Expenditure,Residents Consumption and Economic Growth

以1978～2011年的经济数据为研究对象,通过分析公共支出、居民消费和经济增长的关系,发现变量之间存在长期和短期的均衡关系,但是消费与经济增长之间并不存在双向因果关系,消费内部却存在互动关系,说明当前消费活动对经济增长有一定成效,但尚不明显。基于以上结论,对提高消费、拉动经济方面提出了相关的政策建议。

Using the economic data from 1978-2011, the paper analyzed the relationship between the public expenditure, consumption and economic growth, and found that there was the equilibrium among the variables in the long term and the short term, but there was not causal relationship between consumption and economic growth, and the interaction relations existed in consumption. The reserch indicated that consumption has effected the economic growth insignificantly. At last , the paper put forward some suggestions on the increasing consumption and promoting economic.