西部少数民族地区流出人口个体和家庭特征研究——以贵州省某县为例

Empirical Analysis on Impacts of Population Flow in The Western Minority Area

本文以少数民族集中,且人口流出较多的贵州省某县为例,从个体特征和家庭特征的角度,利用多元logis-tic回归分析技术,研究西部少数民族地区流出人口的特殊性。结果表明:该地区一半以上家庭都有成员流出的现象,且具有明显家庭化趋势,家庭人数和家庭抚养人数是影响家庭成员流出的重要因素。在少数民族聚集区生活的汉族家庭有较强的成员流出倾向,少数民族家庭更倾向于留守。该地区流出人口的离婚率高于常住人口,尤其是在已婚家庭中单独外出打工的男性具有较高的离婚倾向。

From the perspectives of individual characteristics and family characteristics,this article takes a county in Guizhou Province as an example to explore the specific characteristics of the floating population in the western minority area through the Multivariate logistic regression. The results show this phenomenon that more than half of the households have family mem- bers to flow with the tendency of family trend. The number of family members and family dependency are the main factors in- fluencing family members floating. The Han family members living in the western minority area have a much stronger tendency to flow ,while the minority families members prefer to stay. The divorce rate of floating population is higher than that resident population＇s,especially the male members in the married families who float alone have a higher divorce rate.