甘肃省金融发展与城乡收入差距的实证研究——基于1978—2011年的时间序列数据

Empirical Research on the Relationship Between Financial Development and Urban-Rural Income Gap in Gansu Province:Based on Time Series Data from 1978 to 2011

根据甘肃省1978—2011年的数据,采用协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果关系检验对甘肃省金融发展与城乡收入差距的关系进行了实证分析,结果表明金融发展规模的增加显著扩大了城乡收入差距。对此提出建议:应通过加大金融改革力度、稳定农村金融资源、提升金融中介效率、把握信贷投放方向和控制通货膨胀等措施来缩小城乡收入差距,实现社会和经济的稳定发展。

According to the data of Gansu province from 1978 to 2011 ,the paper empirically analyses the relationship between financial development and urban-rural income gap in Gansu province by using cointegration tests,error correction model and Granger causuality tests. Research conclusion shows that expending financial development scale significantly expands urban- rural income gap. Then the paper puts forward some suggestions of narrowing the gap to realize steady development of social economy of Gansu province, such as deepening financial reform, stabling rural financial resources,improving financial efficien- cy,grasping the direction of credit,controlling inflation, etc.