目标位置误差对威胁等级评定影响的分析模型

Analysis Model of Target Position Error Affecting Threat Level Evaluation

从威胁等级误判直接影响防空作战的效果,但是未见从这一角度展开的研究报道,因此,提出目标位置误差对威胁等级评定影响的分析模型。该模型综合分析舰艇编队对反舰导弹的探测误差、坐标转换引入误差和时间同步引入误差,提出威胁等级错误评定概率的目标指标和度量方法。仿真表明建立的目标位置误差对威胁等级评定影响的分析模型符实、可用。

Proper assessment of the threat level of incoming targets is important,and error analysis also is nec- essary, which could influence the decision of air defense, and target position error on threatening grade evaluation of impact analysis model is established from this point. This Model provided a goal index of false assess on threat judgment based on the analysis of the position errors brought by the reeon equipments, coordinates transforma- tion and synchronal time of information, then established a probability model to measure the false degree on threat judgment. Simulation results showed that the false assessment probability model was realistic and effec-tive.