摘要
利用规则集成方法和随机森林方法(RFA),对中铁十三局集团的未来发展进行了预测。基于该集团过去28年的企业发展数据,得到了其"十二五"期间的总产值及利润的预测值。结果表明,中铁十三局的业绩将在未来的几年内持续快速增长。为了使预测的目标得以实现,结合集团的实际情况,尚需要在企业管理、信息化建设、人才培养等方面进行创新。
Total output value and profit of the China Railway 13th Bureau Group Corporation were predicted by rule ensembles and RFA.Based on the data of the past 28 years,the predictive value of total output value and profit of the group in the ＂12th Five-year＂ period was obtained.The results show that the performance of the group will continue to growing rapidly in the coming years.In order to achieve the predicted target,it needs to innovating business management,information construction,and personnel training.
出处
《天津大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期520-523,共4页
Journal of Tianjin University：Social Sciences
关键词
预测
规则集成
随机森林
prediction
rule ensembles
random forest method
