结盟均势理论中的“三明治”结构与大国崛起成败的实证分析

The “Sandwich" Structure in the Alliance Balance of Power Theory and the Empirical Analysis of the Success or Failure of the Emerging Powers

"三明治"联盟制衡体系属于结盟均势理论中的一个独特结构,它是伴随着因竞争性地缘环境下非现状国家权力曲线外延的快速扩展,而自发形成的权力对冲机制。这种权力模型在国际政治中的多次反复出现,为从理论上对其进行实证研究提供了充分的依据。本文通过对大国崛起进程中所面临的结构性压力和成败案例进行归纳与抽象,总结出某些具有长期、普遍指导意义的规律性认识,为今后更细致地预测与分析大国崛起的政治环境提供一种有益的理论框架。

The Union check -and -balance system of the ＂sandwich＂ is an alliance of a unique structure in the balance of power theory. The generation of this structure often accompanies mode spontaneously formed due to the rapid expansion of the non - status qno state power curve epitaxy against competitive geopolitical environ- ment and the power of hedging mechanisms. This power model appearing repeatedly in intemational politics pro- process, so be able to summarize some regular cognizance of enduring and generally guiding significance, so as to provide a beneficial framework for the political environment of emerging powers to offer even more meticulous forecast and analysis for their process of emerging.