如何走出经济理论的危机——来自经济学方法论的思考

How to Shuffle off the Theory Crisis in Economics:in the View of the Methodology

经济危机带来了理论的危机与困境。为了走出危机,首先要摆脱各种具体观点的争论,对其背后的方法论与思维方式进行反思。建立在"还原论"与"决定论"基础上的静态均衡思维方式与当前的复杂性思维方式是两种理论构造模式,它们互不兼容却无法相互取代,也不能用实证的方法对此进行"证实"或"证伪"。理论的难题应该交由社会经济现实来抉择。在我国当前各方利益相互冲突、经济形势不确定的社会经济背景下,复杂性思维模式较有优势。

The current crisis of economy brings along the crisis of theory in the economics sphere. It is necessary to reflect on the back- ground of the methodology instead of the concrete debates of economical affairs. The reductionism and determinism, on which erected the equi- librium and complexitism theory, are tow ways of thinking mode which is incompatible and irreplacibie, confirmmible and falsificationable each oher. The paradox whould be resolved by the alteration of the reality in contemporary. The complexitism mode is of more advantages to con- struct the theoritical system of economics under the circumstances of conflictions in interests and uncertain in economy tendency.