计量经济学视角下当前我国通货膨胀问题研究

Study on Chinese inflation problems from econometric perspectives

后经济危机时代中国经济的发展面临着诸多问题和挑战,其中通货膨胀问题则是一个不容忽视的考验.通货膨胀是一个既古老又全新的经济现象,它的存在是多种经济因素共同作用的结果.在经济危机中包括中国在内的世界各国都采取了积极的财政和货币政策,刺激本国经济的发展,但是这些政策的实施都为后经济危机时代通货膨胀问题的恶化埋下了隐患.本文以经济学通货膨胀理论为研究出发点,运用计量经济学建模研究工具,通过科学的选取通货膨胀衡量指数及相关影响因素指标,并数量化其关系,从而对我国通货膨胀形成的原因进行探究,以便为解决后经济危机时代我国经济发展过程中存在的通货膨胀问题提供相应的政策性建议.

The development of China＇ s economy is faced with many problems and challenges in post - crisis era, of which inflation is a test not to be ignored. Inflation is an old and new economic phenomena and is the result of the interaction of many economic factors. In the economic crisis, countries in the world, including China took the positive fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate the national economic development, but the implementation of these policies have planted a hidden danger for the deterioration of the inflation in post - crisis era. This paper is based on the theory of economics inflation as the starting point and the use of econometric modeling tools, through the scientific selection of inflation measure index and related factors index and quantitative relationship, to study on the causes of the formation of Chinese inflation in order to solve the problems of inflation in the process of China＇ s economic development in post crisis era and provide appropriate policiy recommendations.