1995年以来广州市产业转型特征研究

Study on the Characteristics of The Industrial Transformation for Guangzhou Since 1995

以广州为研究对象,采用产业转型系数、主成分分析和偏离—份额方法,对1995年以来的产业转型进行分析。研究发现广州工业转型的快速时期在1999年前后,服务业随后。1995年以来广州工业内部增长速度呈现差异,竞争优势行业发生变化,但主导产业仍未发生更替。服务业内部增长也呈现较大差异,正逐步向高端化转型,生产性服务业的地位大幅度提升。广州产业转型目前还处于初始阶段,无论是工业还是服务业,其转型还需经历较长的时期,在这个过程中,传统产业对经济发展仍起重要作用。最后,提出了大力发展战略新兴产业、积极发展现代服务业、改造提升传统产业等产业转型的建议。

This paper makes a detailed analysis of industrial transformation since 1995, taking Guangzhou as the research object as well as using the coefficient of industrial transformation, the principal component analysis process and the shift - share method. The study finds that the rapid period of industrial transformation of Guangzhou is around 1999, and that of service industries is subsequent. Meanwhile, the industrial internal growth rate has showed differences, and competitive advantage industries also have changed, but the leading industries are still without replacement since 1995. Also, the service industrial internal growth rate has larger distinction and realized gradually the high-valued transformation, which the status of productive services in total services has been enhanced. In addition, the industrial transformation of Guangzhou is still at the initial stage So that need experience a longer period whether industries or service industries. In the process, traditional industries none the less play an important role on the economic development. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions such as the great development of strategic emerging industries, and the active development of modern service industries, the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries and so on.