中国各地区生产性服务业发展的比较研究

COMPARISON IN PRODUCTIVE SERVICES INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA

利用1992年、1997年、2002年和2007年我国30个省区市的投入产出数据,从生产性服务的特性出发,对各地区生产性服务业发展进行了比较研究,主要结论是:1)我国各地区经济增长仍然以实物要素投人为主,生产性服务对国民经济的影响程度不高;2)交通运输及仓储业、批发和零售业、住宿和餐饮业等对国民经济及各产业的服务投入率较高,而现代知识和技术密集型生产性服务对国民经济及各产业投入率较低;3)近年来由于重工业化加剧,各地区生产性服务占地区总产出的比重降低,实物投入率上升;4)走以国际代工为主的发展道路导致东部省市(上海、北京和天津除外)国民经济及各产业服务投入率并没有显现出相较其他地区更高的特性。

This paper, based on input/output data in 1992, 1997, 2002 and 2007 in China＇s 30 provinces, compares their productive and service industrial development and concludes that the economic growth is chiefly based on fixed input with little effect from productive and service industries, and that a higher input rate lies in logistics, stores, wholesale and retail business, accommodation and catering, and a lower rate in intelligence services, and that a rising heavy industrialization leads to a rising fixed input and a descend in productive and services to gross output rate, and that a leading OEM industrialization doesn＇t mean a higher input rate in productive and service industry in eastern China （with exception of Shanghai, Beijing and Tianjin） to other provinces.