汽车共用零部件钢材理论订货量预报技术的开发

DEVELOPING THEORETICAL ORDER FORECASTING TECHNIQUE FOR STEEL USED IN GENERAL PARTS OF AUTOMOBILE

近年来,随着汽车制造产业发展迅速,对汽车零部件所用钢材的需求量急剧增加。各钢铁生产企业为加大在此领域的市场份额,不仅从产品质量和技术水平等方面进行提高,同时更加注重对客户的服务质量。为此,针对当前普遍使用的理论订货量模型所存在的缺陷,在供应商管理库存思想的基础上,利用动态库存管理的相关数据,同时兼顾季节对库存的影响以及实际生产中的最新成品率变化,开发了一套新的汽车共用零部件钢材的理论订货量预报技术,并将其应用到生产实践,取得了良好的使用效果,有效地提高了企业对汽车板客户的服务质量,为企业带来较大经济效益,具有进一步推广应用的价值。

In recent years, automobile manufacturing industry has developed rapidly and the demand of steel used for auto parts has increased dramatically. To increase the market share in this area, steel enterprises not only improve their product quality and technology level, but also pay more attention to the client services quality. Therefore, in view of the defects of existing theoretical order model commonly used, and based on the thought of vendor managing the inventory, a new set of theoretical order forecasting technique for steel used in general parts of automobile has been developed and applied to the production practices. It uses related data of dynamic inventory management, takes into account both the influence of season on inventories and the latest products change rate in actual production. This new model has achieved good effect, effectively improves the service quality to the customers of automobile sheet, and also gains satisfied economic benefits for the enterprise, and therefore has the value to further promote its application.