内蒙古能源消耗与二氧化碳排放分析

An Analysis of Energy Consumption and Carbon Emission of Inner Mongolia

进入十五以来,随着内蒙古工业化、城镇化的快速推进,在以石化(尤其是煤炭)为主导的能源结构前提下,带动了我区能源消耗与二氧化碳排放的快速增加,从而对内蒙古实现可持续发展带来了严峻挑战。因此,在当前自治区提出转变发展方式和实现国家规定的节能减排硬性目标约束下,分析内蒙古节能减排前景及潜力,在此前提下寻求内蒙古实现节能减排的对策与方法对于我区实现资源节约型、环境友好型社会意义重大。基于此,本文对内蒙古能源消耗现状、未来形势进行了对比分析,在此基础上,按照自治区"十二五"期间的预期实现目标,对我区能耗和排放进行了情景模拟与分析,结果表明,在设定合理情景模式下,内蒙古节能减排仍有很大提升潜力,到"十二五"末是可以实现国家既定的节能减排约束目标的。

In recent 15 years,with the rapid development of industrialization and urbanization in Inner Mongolia, the petro - chemical （ especially coal ） - leading resource structure drives the rapid increasing of energy consumption and carbon emission of Inner Mongolia, which has brought severe challenge for Inner Mongolia to realize sustainable development. Therefore, under the situation of changing development style and realizing the rigid target restraints of energy conservation and emission reduction set by the government,analyzing the prospect and potentials of Inner Mongolia energy conservation and emission reduction in expectation to find out countermeasures to it is of great significance for Inner Mongolia to realize resource - conservation type and environment - friendly type society. Based on this, this paper undertakes a comparative study of the present situation of Inner Mongolia energy consumption future development situation, carries out a scene simulation and analysis of energy consumption and emission according to the goal expected to achieve during the 12th five - year project of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. It proves that in reasonable scene mode, there are still great promotion potentials for Inner Mongolia energy conservation and emission reduction. The goal of energy conservation and emission reduction restraint can be realized by the end of the 12th five - year project.