开放条件下CO_2排放的非参数APLM研究

The Emissions of CO_2 based on Non-parameter APLM Under the Trade Openness

采用非参数APLM研究我国贸易开放度与人均CO2排放之间的关系。研究结果表明:随着贸易开放度的加大,人均CO2排放也随之增加,即贸易开放对人均CO2排放具有显著的促进作用,这一研究结果支持"污染天堂假说"(PHH)在我国的适用性。此外,还发现能源强度是我国人均CO2排放的主要影响因素,人均GDP与人均CO2排放之间并不存在倒"U"型的环境库兹涅茨曲线关系,而是正相关关系,FDI对人均CO2排放的实际影响并不显著。

In this paper, the relationship between trade openness and per capita carbon dioxide emissions emission of China is researched by using a non-parametric additive model. The results show that with the development of the trade openness, the emissions of CO2 increase. That is to say, the development of trade openness will substantially promote the emissions of CO2 in China. And the results of this paper support the ＂pollution haven hypothesis＂ （PHH） can be applied in our country. In addition, it is found that the energy intensity is the main factors to cause the emissions of per capita carbon dioxide emissions. And there is a positive correlation relationship between per capita GDP and per capita carbon dioxide emissions instead of the inverted ＂U＂ Shaped curve environmental Kuznets curve relationship. The effect of FDI on the per carbon dioxide emissions is not significant.