高等教育规模与其影响因素的灰色关联分析

Grey Incidence Analysis to Higher Education Scale and Its Influential Factors

在分析高等教育规模影响因素的基础上,选取国内生产总值GDP、工业生产总值、第三产业占GDP比重、财政收入、恩格尔系数、财政性教育支出、普通高校数、总人口数作为影响指标,利用灰色关联分析法定量地确定各因素对高等教育规模的影响程度。结果表明,在8项因素中,普通高校数、第三产业占GDP比重、总人口数和恩格尔系数对高等教育规模的影响较大,灰色关联度分别为:0.9397、0.9365、0.9310、0.9258。

Based on analyzing the influential factors of higher education scale,the paper selects the eight influential indicators including the gross domestic production（GDP）,the gross industry production,the proportion of the third industry in the GDP,the total fiscal revenue,Engel＇s Coefficient,the fiscal expenditure on education,the number of colleges and universities,the total population.And then,grey incidence analysis is used to determine the influence degree of the influential factors to higher education scale quantitatively.The results show that among the all influential indicators,the number of colleges and universities,the proportion of the third industry in the GDP,the total population and Engel＇s Coefficient have greater influence to higher education scale and the degree of grey incidence are 0.9397,0.9365,0.9310,0.9258,respectively.