出口贸易方式结构与产业结构实证分析——基于上海、香港的比较

An Empirical Analysis on Export Trade Method Structure and Industrial Structure——a comparison study based on Shanghai and Hong Kong

基于2000年至2010年上海、香港主要的出口贸易方式,实证分析出口贸易方式对产业结构的影响,从实证结果中发现,香港的贸易方式结构对产业结构调整作用明显,上海则反之。其中,转口贸易促进了香港第三产业的发展;一般贸易则提高的第二产业的比重,但降低了第三产业的比重;加工贸易对两地产业结构的影响有限。

Based on three main methods of export trade in Shanghai and Hong Kong from 2000 to 2010, this paper empirical analyzes tile influence of export trade method structure to industrial structure. The results showed that Hong Kong＇s trade stnteture significantly affected its industrial structure adjustment, and Shanghai vice. Intermediary trade promoted the development of tertiary industry of Hong Kong; general trade increased the proportion of the second industry while reduced the proportion of the tertiary industry; the processing trade made limited influence on the adjustment of industrial structure of two cities. According to the empirical resuhs, this paper puts forward some suggestions on how to optimize the industrial structure hy way of trade structural adjustment.