河北省技术进步的就业效应研究

Employment Effect Research on the Technical Progress in Hebei Province

随着工业化改革进程的纵深化发展,经济增长方式正在由依赖资本、劳动等要素投入转向对科技进步的依赖。河北省经济高速增长的同时面临着严峻的就业形势,研究技术进步的就业效应,建立二者良好的联动机制对河北省至关重要。在梳理文献的基础上,采用恒定替代弹性生产函数来测算河北省技术进步指数;构造最优雇佣函数来测算出技术进步对就业总量具有微弱的挤出效应,运用就业结构模型测算出技术进步使得第一产业从业人数下降,而第二产业、第三产业从业人数上升,尤其第三产业从业人数随着技术进步升幅较大。

With the deepening of industrialization reform development, economic growth mode is dependent on technology progress more than capital and labor. It is important to study the effect of technical progress on employment especially in Hebei province, where rapid economic growth following with the severe employment situation. After analyzing literature, we can use CES model to measure technology index of Hebei province, use the optimal hire, function to get the result that the effect of technology progress has a weak extrusion on total employment, use the employment structure model to get the results that technology progress led to the first industry workers decline, while the workers in the second industry and the third industry rise, especially the third industry increase greatly.