阿克苏地区耕地资源变动与其影响因素的相关性研究

Correlation Study of Change and Influence Factors of Cultivated Land Resource in Akesu Area

通过分析2001—2010年间新疆阿克苏地区耕地资源的变化趋势,运用灰色关联原理,对10年间阿克苏地区的耕地资源变化与人口、社会经济的关联度进行排序,并辅之以计量分析。结果表明,耕地资源变化与人均GDP、社会固定资产投资成高相关性。据此,提出抑制过快的房地产投资,加大耕地保护力度,加快产业结构升级的建议。

Through the analysis of the metabolic trend of farmland resource during the period of 2001 - 2010 in the Akesu area, using gray corre- lation theory, ranking the relevance of arable land resources change and population, social and economic of 10 years in the Akesu area and supple- mented by quantitative analysis, the results showed that change of cultivated land and per capita GDP, fixed asset investment had high correlation. Ac- cordingly, this article put forward the suggestions that curbed excessive real estate investment, increased farmland to protect strength, accelerated in- dustrial structure to upgrade.