中国CO_2排放量与出口量关系实证分析

Empirical Study of the Relationship of CO_2 Emission and Export

当前碳排放问题越来越受各国的重视,作为出口第一大国,中国出口产品多以碳排放较多的加工贸易产品为主。研究中国的碳排放量和出口的关系可以为中国可持续发展指明方向。通过对1986到2007年间出口隐含CO2的计算得出自从加入WTO中国出口隐含碳急速上涨,并且主要是由燃烧煤炭产生的。通过对这段时间中国CO2排放量与资本存量、消费量、出口量之间多元线性回归模型的实证分析得出:出口量每增加一个单位,CO2增加0.12个单位。

Nowadays, carbon emission problems have attracted more and more attention of national countries. As the biggest export country, China mainly export processed product with more carbon emission. Research on relationship of export and CO2 emission can guide sustainable development. By calculating the embodied CO2 of export during 1986 and 2007, we can draw on the conclusion that China＇s CO2 emission has gone up rapidly after China joining WTO and CO2 emission is merely due to burning carbon. Employing multiple linear regression model of the empirical analysis on CO2 emission,capltal stock, consume, and export can prove that if export increases one unit, CO2 emission add 0.12 units.