资源型城市转型中的替代产业选择——以枣庄市为例

Resource cityTtransition to Replace an Industry to Choose——Taking Zaozhuang City as an Example

资源型城市作为一个特殊的城市类型,其替代产业的选择受到自身城市自然资源、现有产业、市场需求、城市科技水平、政策等因素的影响.本文以枣庄市的产业数据为基础,通过工业化阶段的判定、产业竞争力分析、产业发展趋势与结构调整效益分析和区位分析,并运用因子分析法、SS分解模型以及SPSS软件,选择出适合枣庄发展的替代产业.在实证的基础上,提出枣庄市应重点发展纺织服装业、电子、医药等战略性新兴产业以及机械制造业.

Resource type city as a special type of city,the alternative industry choice by their own city natural resources,existing industry,market demand,city of level of science and technology,policy and other factors.This paper takes Zaozhuang city industrial data as a foundation,through the industrialization stage of decision,industry competitiveness analysis,trend of industry development and structure adjustment of benefit analysis and location analysis,and by using the factor analysis method,SS decomposition model and SPSS software,select suitable for the development of alternative industries in Zaozhuang.In the empirical basis,put forward Zaozhuang city to should focus on the development of textile and garment industry,electronic,pharmaceutical and other emerging industries of strategic importance and mechanical manufacturing industry.