摘要
通过协整检验和格兰杰因果检验法证实了环保投资与3个宏观经济变量人均GDP、财政支出、工业增加值之间具有长期均衡的协整关系和因果关系.利用建立的回归方程对于我国"十二五"期间的环保投资总量进行了预测.结果显示,我国"十二五"期间预计环保投资将达到3.98万亿元.最后,根据研究的结果,提出"十二五"期间环保投资相应的政策建议.
Co-integration analysis and Granger causality test were used to verify long-term equilibrium co- integration causal relationship between investment in environmental protection and three macroeconomic variables-real GDP per capita, public finance expenditure, the industrial added value. Regression equation was used to predict total investment in environmental protection in China for the 12th Five-Year Plan, and it was expected to reach 3.98 trillion RMB yuan. Data obtained here could be used for appropriate policy recommendations.
出处
《北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第6期665-668,共4页
Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science)
基金
2009年环保公益资助项目(200909111)
关键词
环保投资预测
协整分析
格兰杰因果检验
environmental investment forecasts
cointegration analysis
Granger causality test
