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论科学证据的两种概率解释 被引量:2

Two kinds of Interpretations of Scientific Evidence in the Probability Way
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摘要 在科学证据研究中,存在"正相关"和"高概率"两种科学证据的概率定义。从这两个定义出发,能够比较清晰直观地解释科学证据的许多相关问题,如科学证据中的"比较级"和"可接受性"等。然而,两个定义自身存在着不可忽视的缺陷:"正相关"不是证据的充要条件,"高概率"也不足以使证据之为证据。 There are two kinds of interpretations of scientific evidence in the probability way,"direct proportion" and "high proportion".They could help us understand some difficult problems,such as "comparative degree" or "adjective" scientific evidences.But neither of interpretations ensure scientific hypotheses be corroborated more when they achieved those scientific evidences."Direct proportion" would not abundant proof to scientific evidences."High probability" would not be enough to let scientific evidences usable.
作者 方轻
出处 《河南科技大学学报(社会科学版)》 2012年第6期42-47,共6页 Journal of Henan University of Science & Technology(Social science)
关键词 科学证据 概率 “正相关” “高概率” scientific evidence probability "direct proportion" "high probability"
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参考文献4

  • 1Peter Achinstein. The book of evidence [ M ]. New York : Oxford University Press,2001.
  • 2PAUL K. Moser. Knowledge and Evidence [ M ]. New York : Cambridge University Press, 1989.
  • 3R. Carnap. Logical Foundations of Probability [ M ]. Chicago University press, 1950.
  • 4GLYMOUR C. Theory and Evidence[ M]. Princeton university Press, 1980:64.

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