中国主要花卉产品产业内贸易的实证分析——基于2002—2011年的进出口数据

Empirical Study on the Intra-industry Trade in China Main Flower Products Based on Statistics of Import and Export During 2002-2011

为更好地把握我国花卉产品贸易增长的特征及其变化趋势,促进我国花卉产业间贸易,加快产业内贸易,采用联合国Comtrade数据库的中国花卉产品贸易数据,利用GL指数、GL修正指数、Aquino指数、Brulhart边际产业内贸易指数及Thom&McDowell水平型与垂直型产业内贸易指数,对2002—2011年中国主要花卉产品产业内贸易的水平与结构进行实证分析。结果表明:中国主要花卉产品产业内贸易水平总体较低,贸易方式还是以产业间贸易为主;中国主要花卉产品贸易的增长由产业间贸易与产业内贸易共同推动;产业内贸易方式以垂直型产业内贸易为主。提出了继续发展中国主要花卉产品产业间贸易及加快发展产业内贸易的建议。

In order to preferbly grasp the trade growth characteristics and its changing trend of our country flowers products, promote the inter-industry trade and accelerate the industry trade of our country flowers, the author used the data of flowers products trade from UN comtrade database, empirically analyzed the level and the structure of intra-industry trade in China main product of flowers in the period of 2002--2011 by using GL index, modified GL index, Aquino index, Brulhart marginal intra-industry trade index and Thorn g〉 McDowell horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade index. The results showed that China main flower products intra-industry trade was still in the low level, and was dominated by inter- industry trade; The growth of China main product of flower trade was caused jointly by inter-industry trade and intra-industry trade; The vertical intra-industry trade was the main form of intra-industry trade. Then the author proposed advices to develop inter-industry trade of China main flower products and accelerate the development of intra-industry trade.