区域防空武器系统可靠性建模与仿真

Modeling and simulation on reliability of zone aerial defense weapon system

分析假想的区域防空武器系统的结构组成、工作过程及任务想定,建立了防空系统的可靠性逻辑关系模型和仿真统计模型,引用离散事件、蒙特卡洛等理论建立了任务可靠度仿真原理,给出仿真流程。通过1个例子,得到任务想定下的区域防空武器系统的任务可靠度和可靠度的置信下限。仿真结果表明,该方法满足使用要求,可以为多兵种联合下的武器系统可靠性评价提供方法支持。

The composition, operating process and mission conceive of zone aerial defense weapon system are analyzed, reliability logical relation model and simulation statistical model are built, a kind of simulating principle of mission reliability is built based on the theory of Monte-Carlo, Discrete Event and so on,Under a example, mission reliability and confidence interval is gained, simulation flow is given out. Results show that the operational demand can be satisfied, the method is feasible, can offer the method support for reliability evaluation of weapon system based on united multi-arms.